{"id":7660,"date":"2021-01-15T10:33:53","date_gmt":"2021-01-15T10:33:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/?p=7660"},"modified":"2021-01-15T10:33:53","modified_gmt":"2021-01-15T10:33:53","slug":"fitch-ratings-turkiyede-buyumenin-hiz-kazanmasini-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/fitch-ratings-turkiyede-buyumenin-hiz-kazanmasini-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Fitch Ratings T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131z kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

LONDRA (AA) – Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Douglas Winslow,<\/strong> T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2021 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015funun beklentilerine ili\u015fin AA muhabirinin sorular\u0131n\u0131 yan\u0131tlad\u0131. <\/p>\n

Winslow, \u201cKovid-19 a\u015f\u0131lamalar\u0131 g\u00fcveni desteklerken, k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, Avrupa\u2019da toparlanman\u0131n ivmelenmesiyle, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131z kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin y\u00fczde 3,5 seviyesinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6stermesini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu. <\/p>\n

T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0,2 seviyesinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi tahmininde bulunan Fitch Ratings Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Winslow, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin 19 \u015eubat tarihinde \u00fclke not ve g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirme kapsam\u0131nda ve mart ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlanacak olan \u201cK\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u201d raporu \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yeniden de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fini hat\u0131rlatt\u0131.<\/p>

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T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n azalmas\u0131 bekleniyor<\/h4>\n

Winslow, \u201cReel efektif kur, ki de\u011fer kayb\u0131 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 18 seviyesindeydi, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin toplamda ihracattaki rekabeti son y\u0131llarda yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. Turizmin toparlanmas\u0131, ihracatta talebin artmas\u0131 ve yak\u0131n zamanda yap\u0131lan politika s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131, 2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk 11 ay\u0131nda GSYH\u2019nin y\u00fczde 5,2\u2019si seviyesinde olan cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde azalmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n GSYH\u2019ye oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 3,5, 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise y\u00fczde 2,4\u2019e gerilemesini bekliyoruz.\u201d \u0130fadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Winslow konu\u015fmas\u0131na \u015f\u00f6yle devam etti:<\/h4>\n

\u201cYeni Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 y\u00f6netimindeki k\u0131smen daha Ortodoks politikalar \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 sermaye ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 cesaretlendirebilir. Bu unsurlar T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f finansman\u0131n\u0131n dengelenmesini desteklerken, biz \u00fclkenin b\u00fcy\u00fck d\u0131\u015f finansman gereksinimine k\u0131yasla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede olan d\u00f6viz rezervlerinde yak\u0131n vadede belirgin bir art\u0131\u015f beklemiyoruz.\u201d<\/p>\n

TCMB’nin para politikalar\u0131TCMB\u2019nin para politikalar\u0131n\u0131 da de\u011ferlendiren Winslow, \u201cMerkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltmesi ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilirli\u011fi art\u0131ran tek fonlama oran\u0131 kullanmak konusundaki kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, parasal politika kredibilitesini art\u0131rmak y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir ad\u0131m. Fakat bunu yeniden in\u015fa etmek zaman alacakt\u0131r.\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131. <\/p>\n

Winslow, Fitch\u2019in T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de enflasyonun 2021 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda y\u00fczde 10,5, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n sonunda ise y\u00fczde 9,5 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesinin beklendi\u011fini belirtirken uygulanan politika faizinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 13, gelecek y\u0131l ise y\u00fczde 12 olmas\u0131 durumunda, bunun yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,5 seviyesinde reel faize denk gelmi\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ekledi. <\/p>\n

Winslow, \u201cYaz d\u00f6neminde kamu bankalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek seviyedeki kredileri de dahil olmak \u00fczere verilen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc politika destekleri, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde Gayri Safi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131la\u2019n\u0131n (GSYH) artmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flarken, te\u015fvikler cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rarak k\u0131smen T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f finansman\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131.\u201d yorumunu yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Not ve g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc etkileyebilecek unsurlar Gelecek d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin kredi notu ve g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc olumlu y\u00f6nde etkileyebilecek unsurlara da de\u011finen Winslow, \u201c\u0130lerleyen d\u00f6nemde enflasyonun s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir \u015fekilde azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, parasal politika kredibilitesini yeniden in\u015fa edilmesi pozitif reyting eylemini etkileyebilecek baz\u0131 kilit unsurlar aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor. Ya da T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin d\u0131\u015f finansman\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fi konusunda g\u00fcvenin artmas\u0131, yerli tasarruflar\u0131n art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, dolarizasyonun azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin kredi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine ve d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lanmaya daha az ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olmas\u0131 gibi unsurlar.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan Winslow, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin ilerleyen d\u00f6nemde ani d\u0131\u015f finansman riskleri kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n, d\u0131\u015f finansman dengesizlerinin art\u0131racak \u015fekilde politika geni\u015flemesine gitmesinin, kredi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclemeyecek boyutlarda olmas\u0131n\u0131n, bankalar\u0131n ve \u015firketlerin d\u0131\u015f bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7evirmekte zorlanmas\u0131n\u0131n, T\u00fcrk liras\u0131na g\u00fcvenin azalmas\u0131n\u0131n, sermaye \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ve dolarizasyonun artmas\u0131n\u0131n kredi notunun potansiyel olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesine neden olabilecek unsurlar aras\u0131nda oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n

Muhabir: G\u00f6khan Kurtaran AA<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

LONDRA (AA) – Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Douglas Winslow, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2021 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015funun beklentilerine ili\u015fin AA muhabirinin sorular\u0131n\u0131 yan\u0131tlad\u0131.  Winslow, \u201cKovid-19 a\u015f\u0131lamalar\u0131 g\u00fcveni desteklerken, k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131lmas\u0131, Avrupa\u2019da toparlanman\u0131n ivmelenmesiyle, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin h\u0131z kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin y\u00fczde 3,5 seviyesinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6stermesini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.  T\u00fcrk ekonomisinin 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 0,2 seviyesinde b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi tahmininde bulunan Fitch Ratings Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Winslow, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin 19 \u015eubat tarihinde \u00fclke not ve g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ili\u015fkin de\u011ferlendirme kapsam\u0131nda ve mart ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlanacak olan \u201cK\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u201d raporu \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde yeniden de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fini hat\u0131rlatt\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de cari […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1272,1292],"tags":[2539,1765],"class_list":["post-7660","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-turkiye","tag-douglas-winslow","tag-fitch-ratings"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7660","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7660"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7660\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7660"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7660"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7660"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}