{"id":37857,"date":"2026-03-23T10:48:30","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T10:48:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/?p=37857"},"modified":"2026-03-23T11:52:48","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T11:52:48","slug":"birlesik-krallikta-kritik-secim-siyasi-dengeler-degisiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/birlesik-krallikta-kritik-secim-siyasi-dengeler-degisiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"7 May\u0131s&#8217;da Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta Kritik Se\u00e7im: Siyasi Dengeler De\u011fi\u015fiyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"model-response-message-contentr_b4ecf21dc433db24\" class=\"markdown markdown-main-panel enable-updated-hr-color\" dir=\"ltr\" aria-live=\"polite\" aria-busy=\"false\">\n<p>Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k, <strong>7 May\u0131s 2026 Per\u015fembe<\/strong> g\u00fcn\u00fc kapsaml\u0131 bir se\u00e7im maratonuna haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de yerel y\u00f6netim se\u00e7imleri, \u0130sko\u00e7ya&#8217;da parlamento se\u00e7imi ve Galler&#8217;de Senedd (Galler Parlamentosu) se\u00e7imi ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn yap\u0131lacak. BBC&#8217;nin haberine g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>42 milyon<\/strong> \u0130ngiliz vatanda\u015f\u0131 oy kullanmaya hak kazan\u0131rken, se\u00e7im g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fclke genelinde <strong>5.000&#8217;den fazla meclis \u00fcyeli\u011fi koltu\u011fu<\/strong> i\u00e7in yar\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanacak. Bu se\u00e7imler, hem \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi h\u00fck\u00fbmetinin halk nezdindeki konumunu \u00f6l\u00e7ecek hem de <strong>Reform UK<\/strong> ve <strong>Ye\u015filler Partisi<\/strong> gibi y\u00fckselen g\u00fc\u00e7lerin yerel y\u00f6netimlerde ne kadar etkin olabilece\u011fini ortaya koyacak.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-36136\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/ingiltere-parlamento-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2016\" height=\"1512\" title=\"\"><\/p>\n<h4 data-path-to-node=\"1\">Tam Olarak Ne Se\u00e7iliyor?&nbsp;<\/h4>\n<p>Bu se\u00e7imler tek tip bir oylama de\u011fil; Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k b\u00fcnyesindeki \u00fc\u00e7 farkl\u0131 \u00fclkede \u00fc\u00e7 ayr\u0131 d\u00fczeyde se\u00e7im ayn\u0131 anda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor. T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki mahall\u00ee idare se\u00e7imlerine benzer \u015fekilde \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de yerel meclis \u00fcyeleri ve baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerde do\u011frudan belediye ba\u015fkanlar\u0131 se\u00e7ilecek. Ancak \u0130sko\u00e7ya ve Galler&#8217;de durum farkl\u0131: buralarda b\u00f6lgesel parlamentolara milletvekili se\u00e7imi yap\u0131l\u0131yor.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h4 data-path-to-node=\"1\">\u0130ngiltere: Yerel Meclisler ve Belediye Ba\u015fkanlar\u0131&nbsp;<\/h4>\n<p>\u0130ngiltere&#8217;de <strong>136 yerel y\u00f6netim biriminde 5.014&#8217;ten fazla meclis \u00fcyeli\u011fi koltu\u011fu<\/strong> i\u00e7in se\u00e7im yap\u0131lacak. Bu birimler aras\u0131nda Londra&#8217;n\u0131n 32 il\u00e7e belediye meclisi (borough council), 32 il\u00e7ede b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir meclisi (metropolitan borough), 18 tekli y\u00f6netim birimi (unitary authority), 6 il meclisi (county council) ve 48 il\u00e7e meclisi (district council) yer al\u0131yor.<\/p><div id=\"briti-1732925759\" class=\"briti-icerik\" style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/piaryum.com\/services\/\" aria-label=\"piaryum banner\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Gemini_Generated_Image_g5yqr1g5yqr1g5yq.jpg\" alt=\"\"  width=\"2064\" height=\"1152\"   \/><\/a><\/div>\n<div id=\"attachment_33689\" style=\"width: 1610px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-33689\" class=\"size-full wp-image-33689\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/london.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1600\" height=\"900\" title=\"\"><p id=\"caption-attachment-33689\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">@bytvcouk<\/p><\/div>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki belediye meclis \u00fcyesi se\u00e7imine benzer \u015fekilde, se\u00e7menler kendi b\u00f6lgelerindeki adaylar aras\u0131ndan meclis \u00fcyesi (councillor) se\u00e7iyor. Bu meclis \u00fcyeleri ula\u015f\u0131m, sosyal hizmetler, konut, \u00e7evre temizli\u011fi, parklar ve k\u00fct\u00fcphaneler gibi g\u00fcnl\u00fck ya\u015fam\u0131 do\u011frudan etkileyen hizmetlerden sorumlu. Institute for Government&#8217;\u0131n (IfG) raporuna g\u00f6re il meclisleri (county council) ula\u015f\u0131m, sosyal bak\u0131m ve k\u00fct\u00fcphane gibi geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 hizmetleri y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcrken, il\u00e7e meclisleri (district council) daha yerel \u00f6l\u00e7ekli konularla ilgileniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerde se\u00e7im sistemi farkl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6steriyor. B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir il\u00e7elerinin bir k\u0131sm\u0131nda d\u00f6rt y\u0131lda bir t\u00fcm koltuklar ayn\u0131 anda oylan\u0131rken (T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki gibi), di\u011ferlerinde her y\u0131l koltuklar\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7te biri yenileniyor. <strong>2026&#8217;da 13 b\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehir il\u00e7esinde<\/strong> s\u0131n\u0131r de\u011fi\u015fiklikleri nedeniyle t\u00fcm koltuklar ayn\u0131 anda oylanacak; bu durum b\u00fcy\u00fck siyasi de\u011fi\u015fimlere zemin haz\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Londra&#8217;da <strong>1.800 meclis \u00fcyeli\u011fi koltu\u011fu<\/strong> i\u00e7in se\u00e7im yap\u0131lacak. Be\u015f Londra il\u00e7esinde (<strong>Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham ve Tower Hamlets<\/strong>) ve <strong>Watford<\/strong>&#8216;da ise se\u00e7menler do\u011frudan belediye ba\u015fkan\u0131 (directly elected mayor) se\u00e7ecek. Bu belediye ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 modeli, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki&nbsp; belediye ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imine benzer: se\u00e7menler do\u011frudan aday ismi i\u015faretleyerek oy veriyor. Ancak bu &#8220;yerel y\u00f6netim belediye ba\u015fkanlar\u0131&#8221; (local authority mayor), daha geni\u015f yetkilere sahip b\u00f6lgesel ba\u015fkanlardan (metro mayor) farkl\u0131; yaln\u0131zca kendi belediye s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7inde yetkili.<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca alt\u0131 il meclisi se\u00e7imi \u00f6zellikle dikkat \u00e7ekiyor: <strong>East Sussex, Essex, Hampshire, Norfolk, Suffolk ve West Sussex<\/strong>. H\u00fck\u00fbmet, yerel y\u00f6netim yeniden yap\u0131lanmas\u0131 (reorganisation) kapsam\u0131nda bu se\u00e7imlerin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 ertelemeyi planlam\u0131\u015f, ancak <strong>Reform UK&#8217;nin a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 dava<\/strong> ve kamuoyu bask\u0131s\u0131 sonucunda <strong>16 \u015eubat 2026&#8217;da<\/strong> erteleme karar\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7mek zorunda kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. H\u00fck\u00fbmet, etkilenen belediyelere se\u00e7im organizasyonunu desteklemek i\u00e7in <strong>63 milyon sterlin<\/strong> ek kaynak ay\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<h4 data-path-to-node=\"1\">\u0130sko\u00e7ya: Holyrood Parlamentosu Se\u00e7imi&nbsp;<\/h4>\n<p>\u0130sko\u00e7ya&#8217;da <strong>129 sandalyeli \u0130sko\u00e7 Parlamentosu<\/strong> (Holyrood) i\u00e7in genel se\u00e7im yap\u0131lacak. Bu, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki milletvekilli\u011fi genel se\u00e7imine benzer nitelikte; \u0130sko\u00e7ya&#8217;n\u0131n kendi i\u00e7 i\u015flerinde (sa\u011fl\u0131k, e\u011fitim, adalet gibi) yasama yetkisine sahip parlamentosunun tamam\u0131 yenileniyor.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_23824\" style=\"width: 2010px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-23824\" class=\"size-full wp-image-23824\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/iskocya-parlamento-binasi.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1125\" title=\"\"><p id=\"caption-attachment-23824\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u0130sko\u00e7ya Parlamento Binas\u0131<br \/>Foto\u011fraf: Ergin Balabeyo\u011flu<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\u0130sko\u00e7 se\u00e7im sistemi karma bir model kullan\u0131yor. <strong>73 se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgesinde<\/strong> tek turlu \u00e7o\u011funluk sistemiyle (T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki dar b\u00f6lge se\u00e7imine benzer) birer milletvekili se\u00e7ilirken, kalan <strong>56 sandalye<\/strong> sekiz b\u00f6lgesel listeden orant\u0131l\u0131 temsil y\u00f6ntemiyle da\u011f\u0131t\u0131l\u0131yor. B\u00f6ylece se\u00e7menler iki ayr\u0131 oy kullan\u0131yor: biri kendi b\u00f6lge aday\u0131, di\u011feri parti listesi i\u00e7in. Bu sistem, tek ba\u015f\u0131na \u00e7o\u011funluk h\u00fck\u00fbmeti kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rmak \u00fczere tasarlanm\u0131\u015f olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, <strong>\u0130sko\u00e7 Ulusal Partisi<\/strong> (SNP) 2011&#8217;de tek ba\u015f\u0131na \u00e7o\u011funluk elde etmeyi ba\u015farm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Anketlere g\u00f6re <strong>John Swinney<\/strong> liderli\u011findeki SNP, se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgesi oylar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 33-34 ile a\u00e7\u0131k ara \u00f6nde g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Baz\u0131 projeksiyonlar SNP&#8217;nin <strong>62 sandalye<\/strong> kazanarak yeniden tek ba\u015f\u0131na \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fa ula\u015fabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu senaryo, <strong>\u0130sko\u00e7ya ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131<\/strong> yeniden alevlendirecek bir geli\u015fme olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor; zira SNP&#8217;nin 2011&#8217;deki \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu, 2014 ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k referandumunun \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Reform UK<\/strong>, \u0130sko\u00e7ya&#8217;da da y\u00fckseli\u015fte ve anketlerde \u0130sko\u00e7 \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;yle ikinci s\u0131ra i\u00e7in yar\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Muhafazak\u00e2r Parti ise d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131raya d\u00fc\u015fme tehlikesiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Projeksiyonlara g\u00f6re parlamentoda <strong>76 ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k yanl\u0131s\u0131 \u00fcye<\/strong> (SNP + Ye\u015filler) yer alabilir; bu, \u0130sko\u00e7 siyasi tarihinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k yanl\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelecek.<\/p>\n<h4 data-path-to-node=\"1\">Galler: Senedd&#8217;de Tarihi D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm&nbsp;<\/h4>\n<p>Galler&#8217;de yap\u0131lacak se\u00e7im, <strong>1999&#8217;daki yetki devri s\u00fcrecinden bu yana en k\u00f6kl\u00fc reform<\/strong> olarak nitelendiriliyor. <strong>Senedd Cymru (\u00dcyeler ve Se\u00e7imler) Yasas\u0131 2024<\/strong> ile parlamentonun \u00fcye say\u0131s\u0131 <strong>60&#8217;tan 96&#8217;ya<\/strong> \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131. Se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgeleri 40&#8217;tan 16&#8217;ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc ve her b\u00f6lgeden <strong>alt\u0131 \u00fcye<\/strong> se\u00e7ilecek. Se\u00e7im sistemi de tamamen de\u011fi\u015fti: daha \u00f6nce iki oy kullanan se\u00e7menler art\u0131k tek bir oyla parti tercihini belirtecek. Partiler, adaylar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131ral\u0131 liste h\u00e2linde sunuyor ve sandalyeler <strong>D&#8217;Hondt form\u00fcl\u00fcyle<\/strong> orant\u0131l\u0131 \u015fekilde da\u011f\u0131t\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_29393\" style=\"width: 1738px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-29393\" class=\"size-full wp-image-29393\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/galler.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1728\" height=\"1092\" title=\"\"><p id=\"caption-attachment-29393\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Galler @bytvcouk<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Bu sistem de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi, Galler siyasetinde tarih\u00ee bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya yol a\u00e7abilir. <strong>Galler \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi<\/strong>, 1999&#8217;dan beri kesintisiz iktidarda; hatta Galler&#8217;de 1931&#8217;den bu yana hi\u00e7bir se\u00e7im kaybetmemi\u015f. Ancak YouGov&#8217;un Ocak 2026 anketine g\u00f6re <strong>Plaid Cymru<\/strong> (Galler&#8217;in milliyet\u00e7i partisi) y\u00fczde 37 ile a\u00e7\u0131k farkla \u00f6nde. <strong>Reform UK<\/strong> y\u00fczde 23&#8217;le ikinci s\u0131rada yer al\u0131rken, <strong>Ye\u015filler<\/strong> y\u00fczde 13&#8217;e y\u00fckseldi. \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi ise y\u00fczde 10&#8217;a gerileyerek Muhafazak\u00e2rlarla ayn\u0131 seviyeye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Plaid Cymru<\/strong> lideri <strong>Rhun ap Iorwerth<\/strong>, se\u00e7im kampanyas\u0131n\u0131 ekonomik kalk\u0131nma ve Galler&#8217;in \u00f6zerkli\u011fini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme vaatleri \u00fczerine kurmu\u015f durumda. Galler Birinci Bakan\u0131 <strong>Eluned Morgan<\/strong> ise Reform UK ile koalisyonu kesinlikle reddetti\u011fini, ancak gerekirse Plaid Cymru ile i\u015f birli\u011fine a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Analistler, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin Galler&#8217;de iktidar\u0131 kaybetmesini &#8220;y\u00fcz y\u0131lda bir g\u00f6r\u00fclen siyasi deprem&#8221; olarak nitelendiriyor.<\/p>\n<h4 data-path-to-node=\"1\">Siyasi Dengeler: Kim \u00d6nde, Kim Geriliyor?<\/h4>\n<p><strong>Reform UK<\/strong>, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k genelinde en dikkat \u00e7ekici y\u00fckseli\u015fi ya\u015fayan parti konumunda. <strong>Nigel Farage<\/strong> liderli\u011findeki parti, ulusal anketlerde y\u00fczde 27-31 band\u0131yla birinci s\u0131rada yer al\u0131yor. 2025 yerel se\u00e7imlerinde 804 meclis \u00fcyeli\u011fi koltu\u011fu kazanan ve 10 yerel y\u00f6netimin kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc ele ge\u00e7iren Reform UK, 2026&#8217;da \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck kazan\u0131mlar hedefliyor. Farage, se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi <strong>5 milyon sterlinin \u00fczerinde<\/strong> harcama yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve do\u011frudan posta ile sosyal medya kampanyas\u0131na t\u00fcm kaynaklar\u0131n aktar\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu. \u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin k\u0131rsal kesimlerinde, \u00f6zellikle <strong>Essex, Norfolk ve Suffolk<\/strong> gibi il meclislerinde Reform UK&#8217;nin kontrol ele ge\u00e7irmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_29080\" style=\"width: 2570px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-29080\" class=\"size-full wp-image-29080\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/12\/nigel-farage-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1558\" title=\"\"><p id=\"caption-attachment-29080\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Reform UK Lideri Nigel Farage<\/p><\/div>\n<p><strong>Ye\u015filler Partisi<\/strong> de sol kanatta benzer bir \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f ya\u015f\u0131yor. Eyl\u00fcl 2025&#8217;te lider se\u00e7ilen <strong>Zack Polanski<\/strong> d\u00f6neminde parti \u00fcye say\u0131s\u0131 180.000&#8217;i a\u015farak \u00f6nce Liberal Demokratlar\u0131, ard\u0131ndan Muhafazak\u00e2rlar\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131. Ulusal anketlerde y\u00fczde 12-16 band\u0131nda seyreden Ye\u015filler, \u00f6zellikle gen\u00e7 se\u00e7menler aras\u0131nda y\u00fczde 38 ile a\u00e7\u0131k ara en pop\u00fcler parti konumunda. Partinin \u015eubat 2026&#8217;daki <strong>Gorton ve Denton ara se\u00e7imini<\/strong> kazanmas\u0131, \u0130ngiltere kuzeyindeki ilk parlamento zaferi olarak tarihe ge\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_36877\" style=\"width: 1060px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-36877\" class=\"size-full wp-image-36877\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/hannah-spencer.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1050\" height=\"846\" title=\"\"><p id=\"caption-attachment-36877\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Hannah Spencer<\/p><\/div>\n<p><strong>\u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi<\/strong>, Temmuz 2024&#8217;teki genel se\u00e7im zaferinin ard\u0131ndan h\u0131zla destek kaybetti. Ulusal anketlerde y\u00fczde 18-20 band\u0131na gerileyen parti, Ba\u015fbakan <strong>Keir Starmer<\/strong>&#8216;\u0131n onay oranlar\u0131n\u0131n son 50 y\u0131l\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine inmesiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, sa\u011fl\u0131k hizmetlerindeki sorunlar ve <strong>Peter Mandelson-Jeffrey Epstein skandal\u0131<\/strong> gibi tart\u0131\u015fmalar partinin se\u00e7men taban\u0131n\u0131 hem sola (Ye\u015filler&#8217;e) hem de sa\u011fa (Reform UK&#8217;ye) kapt\u0131rmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Londra&#8217;da be\u015f ayr\u0131 cephede (Muhafazak\u00e2rlar, Reform UK, Liberal Demokratlar, Ye\u015filler ve ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z adaylar) sava\u015f vermek zorunda kalacak \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi i\u00e7in se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, Starmer&#8217;\u0131n liderli\u011finin gelece\u011fini de belirleyebilir. Parti i\u00e7i kurallara g\u00f6re 80 milletvekilinin uzla\u015fmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde liderlik de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_35613\" style=\"width: 810px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-35613\" class=\"size-full wp-image-35613\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/keirstarmer-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"534\" title=\"\"><p id=\"caption-attachment-35613\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/number10gov\/Picture by Lauren Hurley \/ No 10 Downing Street<\/p><\/div>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi milletvekilleri, h\u00fck\u00fbmetin g\u00f6\u00e7 politikas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 parlamento i\u00e7inde sembolik bir oylama dayatmay\u0131 planl\u0131yor. Bloomberg&#8217;in ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6zel bir mektupla <strong>100&#8217;den fazla \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi milletvekili<\/strong>, \u0130\u00e7i\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 <strong>Shabana Mahmood<\/strong>&#8216;un s\u00fcresiz oturma izni (ILR) bekleme s\u00fcresini be\u015f y\u0131ldan on y\u0131la \u00e7\u0131karan ve halihaz\u0131rda \u00fclkede ya\u015fayan 2,2 milyon g\u00f6\u00e7meni geriye d\u00f6n\u00fck olarak etkileyen reformlar\u0131n\u0131 geri \u00e7ekmesini talep etti. Eski Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 <strong>Angela Rayner<\/strong> ise planlar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ele\u015ftirerek &#8220;\u0130ngiliz de\u011ferlerine ayk\u0131r\u0131&#8221; olarak nitelendirdi ve partinin &#8220;gerilemenin kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda seyirci kalamayaca\u011f\u0131&#8221; uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. <strong>Starmer<\/strong>, i\u00e7 isyan\u0131 kontrol alt\u0131na almak i\u00e7in politikada yumu\u015fama sinyalleri verse de bu hamle, Reform UK kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda sert g\u00f6\u00e7 politikas\u0131 vaat eden se\u00e7im taahh\u00fctlerinden geri ad\u0131m atmak anlam\u0131na gelecek. Analistler, <strong>7 May\u0131s se\u00e7imlerinde<\/strong> a\u011f\u0131r kay\u0131plar ya\u015fanmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde parti i\u00e7i muhalefetin liderlik de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zla ba\u015flatabilece\u011fini ve Rayner&#8217;\u0131n aday olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini de\u011ferlendiriyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Muhafazak\u00e2r Parti<\/strong> de tarih\u00ee bir krizle bo\u011fu\u015fuyor. Ulusal anketlerde y\u00fczde 18-21 band\u0131yla \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ya da d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131raya d\u00fc\u015fen parti, Brexit yanl\u0131s\u0131 se\u00e7men taban\u0131n\u0131 Reform UK&#8217;ye, g\u00fcneydeki liberal se\u00e7menini ise Liberal Demokratlara kapt\u0131r\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin do\u011fu ve g\u00fcneydo\u011fusunda on y\u0131llard\u0131r elinde tuttu\u011fu il meclislerini kaybetme riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. \u00dc\u00e7 milletvekilinin Reform UK&#8217;ye ge\u00e7mesi, partinin ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 erozyonun boyutunu g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne seriyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Liberal Demokratlar<\/strong> ise y\u00fczde 12 civar\u0131ndaki oy oran\u0131yla nispeten istikrarl\u0131 bir seyir izliyor. 2025&#8217;te Cambridgeshire, Shropshire ve Oxfordshire&#8217;da kontrol\u00fc ele ge\u00e7iren parti, \u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin g\u00fcneyinde Muhafazak\u00e2rlar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131ndan yararlanmay\u0131 hedefliyor.<\/p>\n<h4 data-path-to-node=\"1\">B\u00f6lgesel Siyasi Harita&nbsp;<\/h4>\n<p><strong>Londra<\/strong>, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin kalesi olarak bilinse de anketler ciddi bir sars\u0131nt\u0131ya i\u015faret ediyor. London School of Economics Profes\u00f6r\u00fc <strong>Tony Travers<\/strong>, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin Gorton ara se\u00e7imi yenilgisinden bile a\u011f\u0131r bir &#8220;siyasi deprem&#8221; ya\u015fayabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. \u0130\u00e7 Londra&#8217;da Ye\u015filler, d\u0131\u015f Londra&#8217;da ise Muhafazak\u00e2rlar ve Reform UK \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;ni tehdit ediyor. <strong>Croydon,&nbsp; Enfield ve Barnet<\/strong> gibi d\u0131\u015f Londra il\u00e7elerinde \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin kontrol\u00fc kaybetmesi olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Kuzey \u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin sanayi kentleri<\/strong> (metropolitan boroughs), \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi i\u00e7in en kritik cepheyi olu\u015fturuyor. Great Manchester b\u00f6lgesindeki 10 belediyenin tamam\u0131nda se\u00e7im yap\u0131lacak ve \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin \u015fu anda kontrol\u00fcnde olan <strong>Tameside, Stockport, Bolton ve Oldham<\/strong> gibi belediyelerde kay\u0131plar bekleniyor. <strong>Barnsley, Wigan ve Sunderland<\/strong> gibi geleneksel \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi kalelerinde Reform UK&#8217;nin kontrol\u00fc ele ge\u00e7irmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Do\u011fu ve g\u00fcneydo\u011fu \u0130ngiltere&#8217;deki k\u0131rsal b\u00f6lgeler<\/strong> ise Muhafazak\u00e2r-Reform UK \u00e7eki\u015fmesinin odak noktas\u0131. Essex, Norfolk ve Suffolk il meclislerinin tamam\u0131nda Reform UK&#8217;nin \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu ele ge\u00e7irmesi, k\u0131rsal \u0130ngiltere&#8217;deki en b\u00fcy\u00fck siyasi yeniden yap\u0131lanma olarak tarihe ge\u00e7ebilir.<\/p>\n<h4 data-path-to-node=\"1\">Se\u00e7im S\u00fcreci Nas\u0131l \u0130\u015fliyor?&nbsp;<\/h4>\n<p>Se\u00e7men kayd\u0131 i\u00e7in son tarih <strong>20 Nisan Pazartesi<\/strong>. Posta yoluyla oy ba\u015fvurusu <strong>21 Nisan<\/strong>, vek\u00e2leten oy ba\u015fvurusu ise <strong>28 Nisan<\/strong> tarihine kadar yap\u0131labilir. \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de oy kullanmak i\u00e7in <strong>foto\u011frafl\u0131 kimlik<\/strong> g\u00f6stermek zorunlu; ancak \u0130sko\u00e7ya ve Galler&#8217;deki parlamento se\u00e7imlerinde kimlik zorunlulu\u011fu bulunmuyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ngiltere&#8217;de oy kullanma hakk\u0131 18 ya\u015f ve \u00fczeri \u0130ngiliz vatanda\u015flar\u0131na, \u00fclkede ya\u015fayan AB vatanda\u015flar\u0131na ve baz\u0131 \u0130ngiliz Milletler Toplulu\u011fu vatanda\u015flar\u0131na tan\u0131n\u0131yor. H\u00fck\u00fbmet, se\u00e7im kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmak amac\u0131yla <strong>Cambridge, North Hertfordshire, Tunbridge Wells ve Milton Keynes<\/strong>&#8216;te &#8220;esnek oy kullanma&#8221; pilot uygulamalar\u0131 ba\u015flat\u0131yor; bu kapsamda se\u00e7im g\u00fcn\u00fcnden \u00f6nceki hafta sonu da oy verilebilecek.<\/p>\n<h4 data-path-to-node=\"1\">Se\u00e7imlerin Ulusal Siyasete Etkisi&nbsp;<\/h4>\n<p>Bu se\u00e7imler, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k siyasetinde birka\u00e7 kritik soruya yan\u0131t verecek. Birincisi, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n boyutu <strong>Keir Starmer<\/strong>&#8216;\u0131n liderli\u011fini do\u011frudan tehdit edebilir. \u0130kincisi, Reform UK&#8217;nin anketlerdeki deste\u011fini yerel y\u00f6netimlerde fiil\u00ee iktidara d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr\u00fcp d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ftiremeyece\u011fi test edilecek. \u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, \u0130sko\u00e7ya&#8217;da olas\u0131 bir SNP \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu <strong>ikinci ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k referandumu<\/strong> tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 yeniden alevlendirebilir. D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fcs\u00fc, Galler&#8217;de Plaid Cymru&#8217;nun zaferi, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin y\u00fcz y\u0131ll\u0131k h\u00e2kimiyetinin sona ermesi anlam\u0131na gelecek.<\/p>\n<p>Brookings Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc&#8217;n\u00fcn analizine g\u00f6re Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k siyaseti, tarihinde ilk kez <strong>be\u015f partinin ulusal d\u00fczeyde y\u00fczde 10&#8217;un \u00fczerinde<\/strong> oy ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6neme girmi\u015f durumda. Bu par\u00e7alanma, tek turlu \u00e7o\u011funluk se\u00e7im sistemi alt\u0131nda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemeyen sonu\u00e7lara yol a\u00e7abilir. Electoral Calculus&#8217;un projeksiyonlar\u0131na g\u00f6re bug\u00fcn genel se\u00e7im yap\u0131lsa Reform UK en b\u00fcy\u00fck parti olurken, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi <strong>1910&#8217;dan bu yana en k\u00f6t\u00fc sonucuyla<\/strong> kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilir.<\/p>\n<p>7 May\u0131s, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k&#8217;\u0131n siyasi haritas\u0131n\u0131 yeniden \u00e7izme potansiyeli ta\u015f\u0131yan, tarihi bir se\u00e7im g\u00fcn\u00fc olacak.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"briti-1778322378\" class=\"briti-icerikten-sonra_2\" style=\"margin-top: 25px;margin-bottom: 25px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wa.me\/message\/NDZLLIOQT4H3O1\" aria-label=\"bytv reklam banner\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/bytv-reklam-banner.jpg\" alt=\"\"  width=\"2376\" height=\"1008\"   \/><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k, 7 May\u0131s 2026 Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc kapsaml\u0131 bir se\u00e7im maratonuna haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de yerel y\u00f6netim se\u00e7imleri, \u0130sko\u00e7ya&#8217;da parlamento se\u00e7imi ve Galler&#8217;de Senedd (Galler Parlamentosu) se\u00e7imi ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn yap\u0131lacak. BBC&#8217;nin haberine g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k 42 milyon \u0130ngiliz vatanda\u015f\u0131 oy kullanmaya hak kazan\u0131rken, se\u00e7im g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fclke genelinde 5.000&#8217;den fazla meclis \u00fcyeli\u011fi koltu\u011fu i\u00e7in yar\u0131\u015f ya\u015fanacak. Bu se\u00e7imler, hem \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi h\u00fck\u00fbmetinin halk nezdindeki konumunu \u00f6l\u00e7ecek hem de Reform UK ve Ye\u015filler Partisi gibi y\u00fckselen g\u00fc\u00e7lerin yerel y\u00f6netimlerde ne kadar etkin olabilece\u011fini ortaya koyacak. Tam Olarak Ne Se\u00e7iliyor?&nbsp; Bu se\u00e7imler tek tip bir oylama de\u011fil; Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k b\u00fcnyesindeki \u00fc\u00e7 farkl\u0131 \u00fclkede \u00fc\u00e7 ayr\u0131 d\u00fczeyde [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":37873,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5269,15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37857","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-birlesik-krallik","category-ingiltere"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37857","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37857"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37857\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37876,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37857\/revisions\/37876"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37873"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37857"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37857"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37857"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}