{"id":33963,"date":"2025-12-04T13:49:57","date_gmt":"2025-12-04T13:49:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/?p=33963"},"modified":"2025-12-04T13:49:57","modified_gmt":"2025-12-04T13:49:57","slug":"brexitin-10-yilinda-ingiltere-buyume-baskisi-altinda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/brexitin-10-yilinda-ingiltere-buyume-baskisi-altinda\/","title":{"rendered":"Brexit\u2019in 10. y\u0131l\u0131nda \u0130ngiltere b\u00fcy\u00fcme bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda"},"content":{"rendered":"

Brexit referandumunun \u00fczerinden neredeyse on y\u0131l ge\u00e7erken, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisine ili\u015fkin yeni veriler b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131ndaki zay\u0131flamay\u0131 yeniden g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. King\u2019s College London<\/strong> taraf\u0131ndan y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen \u201cDecision Maker Panel<\/strong>\u201d ara\u015ft\u0131rma giri\u015fiminin bulgular\u0131na g\u00f6re, Brexit sonras\u0131 \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi 2016 \u00f6ncesindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme rotas\u0131ndan belirgin bi\u00e7imde uzakla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re, 2025 ba\u015f\u0131 itibar\u0131yla \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi, Brexit ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmemi\u015f olsayd\u0131 makro verilerle yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 8, firma d\u00fczeyindeki mikro verilerle ise y\u00fczde 6 daha b\u00fcy\u00fck olacakt\u0131<\/strong>. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar, siyasi belirsizlik ve de\u011fi\u015fen ticaret ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n \u015firketleri uzun s\u00fcreli bir \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d tutumuna y\u00f6neltti\u011fini ve bu durumun yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 geciktirdi\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131m, \u0130stihdam ve Verimlilikte D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Raporda, Brexit karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00fclke genelinde yat\u0131r\u0131m planlar\u0131n\u0131n ertelendi\u011fi; y\u00f6neticilerin zamanlar\u0131n\u0131 yeni \u00fcr\u00fcn geli\u015ftirmek veya operasyonlar\u0131 geni\u015fletmek yerine risk de\u011ferlendirmeleri ve haz\u0131rl\u0131klara ay\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurgulan\u0131yor. Bulgulara g\u00f6re, yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 12\u201318<\/strong>, istihdam\u0131n y\u00fczde 3\u20134<\/strong> ve verimlili\u011fin y\u00fczde 3\u20134<\/strong> daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>

\"\"<\/a><\/div>\n

En b\u00fcy\u00fck etkiyi, Avrupa tedarik zincirlerine en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde ba\u011fl\u0131 olan ve tarihsel olarak ulusal b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye \u00f6nemli katk\u0131 sa\u011flayan sekt\u00f6rlerin hissetti\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Ticarette \u201cTers Reform\u201d Etkisi<\/h4>\n

Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar, \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin AB\u2019den ayr\u0131lma karar\u0131n\u0131 k\u00fcreselle\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131n aksine ticaret engellerini art\u0131ran bir \u201cters ticaret reformu<\/strong>\u201d olarak nitelendiriyor. Ticaret ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n referandumun hemen ard\u0131ndan keskin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015famad\u0131\u011f\u0131, as\u0131l etkinin Brexit sonras\u0131 Ticaret ve \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Anla\u015fmas\u0131<\/strong> y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girdikten sonra hissedildi\u011fi ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Ki\u015fi Ba\u015f\u0131na Gelirde Gerileme<\/h4>\n

Zaman i\u00e7inde \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin ekonomik performans\u0131 rakip \u00fclkelere k\u0131yasla geriledi. B\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flamas\u0131yla birlikte ya\u015fam standartlar\u0131 da dura\u011fanla\u015ft\u0131. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmada, ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na GSYH\u2019nin benzer \u00fclkelere k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 6\u201310 daha az artt\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/strong> ve \u0130ngiltere\u2019nin geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomiler aras\u0131nda \u201calt y\u00fczde 10\u2019luk dilimde\u201d yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7ici Beklenti Kal\u0131c\u0131 Etkiye D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc<\/h4>\n

Raporda, ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta ge\u00e7ici bir ayarlama olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen bu s\u00fcrecin, \u015firketlerin karar alma davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde etkileyen yap\u0131sal bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcme d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc vurgulan\u0131yor. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar, Brexit\u2019in etkilerinin tek bir siyasi kararla a\u00e7\u0131klanamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131; uzun y\u0131llara yay\u0131lan belirsizlik, azalan g\u00fcven ve zay\u0131flayan rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc \u015fekillendirmeye devam etti\u011fini ifade ediyor.<\/p>\n

King\u2019s College London\u2019\u0131n de\u011ferlendirmeleri, Brexit\u2019in \u00fczerinden ge\u00e7en zamana ra\u011fmen olumsuz etkilerin belirgin bi\u00e7imde azalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Brexit referandumunun \u00fczerinden neredeyse on y\u0131l ge\u00e7erken, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisine ili\u015fkin yeni veriler b\u00fcy\u00fcme performans\u0131ndaki zay\u0131flamay\u0131 yeniden g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. King\u2019s College London taraf\u0131ndan y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen \u201cDecision Maker Panel\u201d ara\u015ft\u0131rma giri\u015fiminin bulgular\u0131na g\u00f6re, Brexit sonras\u0131 \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi 2016 \u00f6ncesindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcme rotas\u0131ndan belirgin bi\u00e7imde uzakla\u015ft\u0131. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re, 2025 ba\u015f\u0131 itibar\u0131yla \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi, Brexit ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmemi\u015f olsayd\u0131 makro verilerle yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 8, firma d\u00fczeyindeki mikro verilerle ise y\u00fczde 6 daha b\u00fcy\u00fck olacakt\u0131. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar, siyasi belirsizlik ve de\u011fi\u015fen ticaret ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131n \u015firketleri uzun s\u00fcreli bir \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d tutumuna y\u00f6neltti\u011fini ve bu durumun yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 geciktirdi\u011fini belirtiyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131m, \u0130stihdam ve Verimlilikte D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Raporda, Brexit karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan \u00fclke genelinde yat\u0131r\u0131m planlar\u0131n\u0131n ertelendi\u011fi; […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":23242,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5269,4790],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33963","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-birlesik-krallik","category-brexit"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33963","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33963"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33963\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33965,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33963\/revisions\/33965"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23242"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33963"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33963"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33963"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}