{"id":31864,"date":"2025-06-23T00:27:52","date_gmt":"2025-06-22T23:27:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/?p=31864"},"modified":"2025-06-23T00:27:52","modified_gmt":"2025-06-22T23:27:52","slug":"anket-reform-uk-secim-olsa-cogunlugu-kazanabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/anket-reform-uk-secim-olsa-cogunlugu-kazanabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Anket: Reform UK, Se\u00e7im Olsa \u00c7o\u011funlu\u011fu Kazanabilir"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0130ngiltere’de yap\u0131lan son kamuoyu yoklamas\u0131, Nigel Farage liderli\u011findeki sa\u011fc\u0131 Reform UK partisinin bir genel se\u00e7im yap\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde Avam Kamaras\u0131\u2019nda \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu elde edebilece\u011fini ortaya koydu. Sky News<\/em>\u2019in Ipsos<\/em> verilerine dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 analizine g\u00f6re Reform UK, %34 oy oran\u0131yla birinci parti konumuna y\u00fckselirken, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi %25 ile ikinci s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131. Muhafazak\u00e2r Parti ise %15 ile tarihinin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine geriledi.<\/p>\n

Reform UK: Se\u00e7im matemati\u011finde \u00e7o\u011funluk ihtimali<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Ipsos\u2019un 30 May\u0131s\u20134 Haziran 2025 tarihleri aras\u0131nda 1.180 yeti\u015fkinle ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada, oylar\u0131n bu \u015fekilde da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda Reform UK’nin 340 milletvekili \u00e7\u0131karabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu rakam, partinin tek ba\u015f\u0131na h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor. Ayn\u0131 senaryoda \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi 176 sandalyeye gerilerken, Muhafazak\u00e2rlar sadece 12 milletvekili ile temsil edilebiliyor.<\/p>\n

Anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 teorik olarak ulusal ortalamaya g\u00f6re da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m yap\u0131l\u0131rsa bu tablo ortaya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Ancak pek \u00e7ok milletvekili ve siyaset uzman\u0131, oy oranlar\u0131n\u0131n yerel d\u00fczeyde ciddi farkl\u0131l\u0131klar g\u00f6sterebilece\u011fini vurguluyor. Bu nedenle sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n dikkatle yorumlanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>

\"\"<\/a><\/div>\n

Siyasi dengelerde sars\u0131nt\u0131<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Reform UK\u2019nin y\u00fckseli\u015fi, \u00f6zellikle Muhafazak\u00e2r Parti i\u00e7inde kayg\u0131lar\u0131 art\u0131rm\u0131\u015f durumda. Parti lideri Kemi Badenoch\u2019un kamuoyu deste\u011fini yeniden kazanmak i\u00e7in zamana ihtiyac\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi\u011fi liderlik kampanyas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinden yedi bu\u00e7uk ay ge\u00e7mi\u015fken, ard\u0131 ard\u0131na gelen anketler partinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne seriyor. Parti i\u00e7inde bu s\u00fcrecin ne kadar daha s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilece\u011fi sorgulanmaya ba\u015fland\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da tablo i\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil. Ayn\u0131 ankette Ba\u015fbakan Keir Starmer\u2019\u0131n g\u00f6rev performans\u0131ndan memnuniyet oran\u0131 %19\u2019da kal\u0131rken, memnuniyetsizlik %73\u2019e ula\u015ft\u0131. \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi’nin %25 oy oran\u0131, partinin 2019 Ekim\u2019inden bu yana g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerden biri.<\/p>\n

Reform UK i\u00e7in moral, muhalefet i\u00e7in uyar\u0131<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Reform UK, ge\u00e7en haftalarda eski ba\u015fkanlar\u0131 Zia Yusuf\u2019un istifas\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan partiye d\u00f6nmesiyle bir t\u00fcr i\u00e7 kriz ya\u015fam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu anket sonucu, parti taban\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir moral kayna\u011f\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00d6te yandan, Sky News<\/em> yorumuna g\u00f6re anketin sembolik etkisi, Westminster\u2019daki siyasi hesapla\u015fmalar \u00fczerinde do\u011frudan etkili olabilir.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 ve ekonomi g\u00fcndeminde anketin yank\u0131lar\u0131<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Bu anket, ekonominin %0,3 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. Siyasi belirsizlikler ve kamuoyu deste\u011findeki dalgalanmalar, Westminster’daki genel hava \u00fczerinde etkili olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

Kamuoyunda soyut g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecek olsa da, bu t\u00fcr anketler partilerdeki stratejik kararlar\u0131n ve olas\u0131 liderlik m\u00fccadelelerinin zamanlamas\u0131n\u0131 etkileyebiliyor. \u00d6zellikle Muhafazak\u00e2r Parti\u2019nin yeni lideri Kemi Badenoch i\u00e7in bu sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n nas\u0131l bir s\u00fcreci tetikleyece\u011fi merak konusu.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130ngiltere’de yap\u0131lan son kamuoyu yoklamas\u0131, Nigel Farage liderli\u011findeki sa\u011fc\u0131 Reform UK partisinin bir genel se\u00e7im yap\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde Avam Kamaras\u0131\u2019nda \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu elde edebilece\u011fini ortaya koydu. Sky News\u2019in Ipsos verilerine dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 analizine g\u00f6re Reform UK, %34 oy oran\u0131yla birinci parti konumuna y\u00fckselirken, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi %25 ile ikinci s\u0131rada yer ald\u0131. Muhafazak\u00e2r Parti ise %15 ile tarihinin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine geriledi. Reform UK: Se\u00e7im matemati\u011finde \u00e7o\u011funluk ihtimali Ipsos\u2019un 30 May\u0131s\u20134 Haziran 2025 tarihleri aras\u0131nda 1.180 yeti\u015fkinle ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada, oylar\u0131n bu \u015fekilde da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda Reform UK’nin 340 milletvekili \u00e7\u0131karabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu rakam, partinin tek ba\u015f\u0131na h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurabilece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor. Ayn\u0131 senaryoda \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi 176 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29080,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5269],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31864","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-birlesik-krallik"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31864","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31864"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31864\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31866,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31864\/revisions\/31866"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29080"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31864"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31864"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31864"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}