{"id":26015,"date":"2024-06-27T20:30:25","date_gmt":"2024-06-27T19:30:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/?p=26015"},"modified":"2024-06-27T20:30:25","modified_gmt":"2024-06-27T19:30:25","slug":"rishi-sunak-genel-secimde-koltugunu-kaybeden-ilk-basbakan-olabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/rishi-sunak-genel-secimde-koltugunu-kaybeden-ilk-basbakan-olabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Rishi Sunak Genel Se\u00e7imde Koltu\u011funu Kaybeden \u0130lk Ba\u015fbakan Olabilir"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Son yay\u0131nlanan bir ankete g\u00f6re, Muhafazak\u00e2rlar\u0131n 2019&#8217;daki 365 sandalye say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bu se\u00e7imde 53&#8217;e d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ayn\u0131 analiz, Rishi Sunak&#8217;\u0131n Yorkshire&#8217;daki Richmond ve Northallerton b\u00f6lgesindeki koltu\u011funu kaybetme riskini de g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p>Savanta ve Electoral Calculus taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan analiz \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin 4 Temmuz&#8217;daki se\u00e7imlerde 516 sandalye kazanma ihtimalini ortaya koydu. Richmond, tarihsel olarak g\u00fcvenli bir Muhafazakar b\u00f6lge olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; ancak e\u011fer Sunak bu se\u00e7imlerde koltu\u011funu kaybederse, bu durum \u00f6nemli bir siyasi d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131 olacak. Sunak, 2015&#8217;ten bu yana bu koltu\u011fu elinde tutuyor ve bu koltuk daha \u00f6nce 1989&#8217;dan itibaren eski Muhafazakar lider William Hague taraf\u0131ndan temsil ediliyordu.<\/p>\n<p>Se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgeleri aras\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131rlar, n\u00fcfus de\u011fi\u015fikliklerini yans\u0131tacak \u015fekilde bu se\u00e7im i\u00e7in yeniden \u00e7izildi, bu da Sunak&#8217;\u0131n se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgesinin art\u0131k Richmond ve Northallerton olarak an\u0131lmas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p><div id=\"briti-1344165364\" class=\"briti-icerik\" style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/piaryum.com\/services\/\" aria-label=\"piaryum banner\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Gemini_Generated_Image_g5yqr1g5yqr1g5yq.jpg\" alt=\"\"  width=\"2064\" height=\"1152\"   \/><\/a><\/div>\n<h5><strong>\u0130ngiltere&#8217;de Ba\u015fbakanlar\u0131n Genel Se\u00e7imlerde Koltuklar\u0131n\u0131 Kaybetme Tarih\u00e7esi<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p><strong>Institute for Government<\/strong>&#8216;a g\u00f6re, \u015fimdiye kadar hi\u00e7bir \u0130ngiliz ba\u015fbakan\u0131 genel se\u00e7imlerde kendi koltu\u011funu kaybetmedi. Arthur Balfour (1906) ve Ramsay MacDonald (1935) gibi baz\u0131 ba\u015fbakanlar, bu duruma \u00e7ok yakla\u015fm\u0131\u015flard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Balfour, Aral\u0131k 1905&#8217;te ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k g\u00f6revinden istifa ederek bir se\u00e7ime zorlama amac\u0131 g\u00fctm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Ancak bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te, muhalefet liderinin ba\u015fbakan olarak h\u00fck\u00fcmet kurmas\u0131 sonucunda, Ocak 1906&#8217;da yap\u0131lacak olan se\u00e7imden \u00f6nce g\u00f6revi b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Balfour, bu se\u00e7imde kendi koltu\u011funu kaybetti.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan, Ramsay MacDonald, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin ilk ba\u015fbakan\u0131 olarak bilinir. 1935 genel se\u00e7imlerinde yenilgiye u\u011framadan \u00f6nce kampanya ba\u015flamadan ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k g\u00f6revinden istifa etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Ayr\u0131ca, son y\u00fcz y\u0131lda bir\u00e7ok k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck parti lideri genel se\u00e7imlerde koltuklar\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti. En son \u00f6rnek, Liberal Demokrat lider Jo Swinson&#8217;\u0131n 2019&#8217;da Do\u011fu Dunbartonshire&#8217;daki koltu\u011funu kaybetmesi oldu.<\/p>\n<h5><strong>Muhafazakarlar\u0131n Liderli\u011fi ve Kabinenin Gelece\u011fi Tehlikede<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>Savanta anketine g\u00f6re, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi ile Muhafazakarlar aras\u0131nda ince bir fark oldu\u011fu belirtildi. Son haftalarda, farkl\u0131 metodolojilere dayanan bir\u00e7ok ankete g\u00f6re, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi genel olarak b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7o\u011funlukla \u00f6nde g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Muhafazakar Parti&#8217;nin se\u00e7imi kazanmas\u0131 fakat Rishi Sunak&#8217;\u0131n kendi koltu\u011funu kaybetmesi durumunda, Sunak&#8217;\u0131n parti lideri olarak g\u00f6revde kalmas\u0131 pek olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Sunak&#8217;\u0131n yerine Muhafazakar Parti liderli\u011fi i\u00e7in potansiyel adaylar aras\u0131nda \u00e7ok say\u0131da milletvekili bulunuyor, ancak bu isimlerden bir\u00e7o\u011fu da koltuklar\u0131n\u0131 kaybetme riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Savanta anketine g\u00f6re, Penny Mordaunt, Grant Shapps, Suella Braverman ve Robert Jenrick gibi \u00f6nemli fig\u00fcrler koltuklar\u0131n\u0131 kaybedebilir. Ba\u015fbakan Jeremy Hunt ve \u0130\u00e7i\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 James Cleverly gibi liderlik yar\u0131\u015f\u0131na girmeyen di\u011fer kabine \u00fcyeleri de risk alt\u0131nda.<\/p>\n<p>1974 y\u0131l\u0131ndan bu yana kabinede g\u00f6rev yapan on iki bakan koltu\u011funu kaybetti. Savanta&#8217;n\u0131n son anketi, mevcut kabinenin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n koltuklar\u0131n\u0131 kaybetme tehlikesiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011funu ve bu durumun Sunak&#8217;\u0131n \u00fcst d\u00fczey ekibinden 15 \u00fcyenin kaybedilmesiyle kabinenin neredeyse tamamen silinebilece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<h5><strong>Sunak, Parlamentoda Kalmaya Kararl\u0131<\/strong><\/h5>\n<p>Muhafazak\u00e2rlar\u0131n se\u00e7imi kaybetmesi halinde Sunak&#8217;\u0131n siyaseti b\u0131rak\u0131p Kaliforniya&#8217;ya ta\u015f\u0131n\u0131p ta\u015f\u0131nmayaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda pek \u00e7ok spek\u00fclasyon yap\u0131ld\u0131. Ancak Sunak, b\u00f6yle bir plan\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a belirtti ve koltu\u011funu kaybetmesi durumunda bu olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n artabilece\u011fine dair s\u00f6ylentileri yalanlad\u0131. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, Muhafazakar Parti&#8217;nin se\u00e7imi kaybetmesi halinde be\u015f y\u0131l daha Parlamento&#8217;da yedek milletvekili olarak g\u00f6rev yapmaya haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu ifade etti.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ngiltere&#8217;de kalmaya kararl\u0131 olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 soruldu\u011funda Sunak, &#8220;Elbette, \u0130ngiltere&#8217;de kalaca\u011f\u0131m. Buras\u0131 benim evim,&#8221; dedi. Ayr\u0131ca, &#8220;Futbol tak\u0131m\u0131m daha yeni Premiership&#8217;e y\u00fckseldi ve onlar\u0131 y\u0131llarca Premier Lig&#8217;de izlemeyi umuyorum,&#8221; diyerek \u0130ngiltere&#8217;ye olan ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131. Sunak, se\u00e7imin sonucuna bak\u0131lmaks\u0131z\u0131n uzun y\u0131llar Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k&#8217;ta ve Parlamento&#8217;da kalmaya kararl\u0131 oldu\u011funu da ekledi.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Richmond ve Northallerton&#8217;daki adaylar\u0131n tam listesi:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Rishi Sunak (Muhafazakar Parti)<\/p>\n<p>Tom Wilson (\u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi)<\/p>\n<p>Daniel Callaghan (Liberal Demokratlar)<\/p>\n<p>Lee Taylor (Reform UK)<\/p>\n<p>Kevin Foster (Ye\u015fil)<\/p>\n<p>Louise Dickens (\u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi)<\/p>\n<p>Sir Archibald Stanton (Monster Raving Loony Partisi)<\/p>\n<p>Rio Goldhammer (Yorkshire)<\/p>\n<p>Jason Barnett (Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z)<\/p>\n<p>Count Binface ( Count Binface Partisi)<\/p>\n<p>Angie Campion (Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z)<\/p>\n<p>Niko Omilana (Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z)<\/p>\n<p>Brian Richmond (Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"briti-4072762618\" class=\"briti-icerikten-sonra_2\" style=\"margin-top: 25px;margin-bottom: 25px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wa.me\/message\/NDZLLIOQT4H3O1\" aria-label=\"bytv reklam banner\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/bytv-reklam-banner.jpg\" alt=\"\"  width=\"2376\" height=\"1008\"   \/><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Son yay\u0131nlanan bir ankete g\u00f6re, Muhafazak\u00e2rlar\u0131n 2019&#8217;daki 365 sandalye say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n bu se\u00e7imde 53&#8217;e d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ayn\u0131 analiz, Rishi Sunak&#8217;\u0131n Yorkshire&#8217;daki Richmond ve Northallerton b\u00f6lgesindeki koltu\u011funu kaybetme riskini de g\u00f6steriyor. Savanta ve Electoral Calculus taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan analiz \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin 4 Temmuz&#8217;daki se\u00e7imlerde 516 sandalye kazanma ihtimalini ortaya koydu. Richmond, tarihsel olarak g\u00fcvenli bir Muhafazakar b\u00f6lge olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; ancak e\u011fer Sunak bu se\u00e7imlerde koltu\u011funu kaybederse, bu durum \u00f6nemli bir siyasi d\u00f6n\u00fcm noktas\u0131 olacak. Sunak, 2015&#8217;ten bu yana bu koltu\u011fu elinde tutuyor ve bu koltuk daha \u00f6nce 1989&#8217;dan itibaren eski Muhafazakar lider William Hague taraf\u0131ndan temsil ediliyordu. Se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgeleri aras\u0131ndaki s\u0131n\u0131rlar, n\u00fcfus de\u011fi\u015fikliklerini [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":25488,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5269],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26015","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-birlesik-krallik"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26015","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26015"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26015\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25488"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26015"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26015"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26015"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}