{"id":24485,"date":"2024-04-08T05:58:02","date_gmt":"2024-04-08T04:58:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/?p=24485"},"modified":"2024-04-08T05:58:02","modified_gmt":"2024-04-08T04:58:02","slug":"yougov-anketi-torynin-secimlerde-silinecegini-ongorurken-isci-partisinin-400den-fazla-sandalye-kazanacagi-tahmin-ediliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/yougov-anketi-torynin-secimlerde-silinecegini-ongorurken-isci-partisinin-400den-fazla-sandalye-kazanacagi-tahmin-ediliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"YouGov anketi Tory&#8217;nin se\u00e7imlerde silinece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcrken, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin 400&#8217;den fazla sandalye kazanaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">YouGov&#8217;un son kapsaml\u0131 anketine g\u00f6re \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi bir sonraki genel se\u00e7imlerde 400&#8217;den fazla sandalye kazanarak iktidara gelebilir.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">18.000 ki\u015finin kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ankete g\u00f6re Sir Keir Starmer&#8217;\u0131n partisi 154 milletvekili daha \u00e7\u0131kararak Muhafazakarlar\u0131n 2019&#8217;da Boris Johnson ile elde etti\u011fi \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fun neredeyse iki kat\u0131na ula\u015facak.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-media-max-width=\"560\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">New YouGov MRP \u2013 Labour set to win more than 400 seats<\/p>\n<p>Labour: 403 (+201 since GE2019)<br \/>\nConservatives: 155 (-210)<br \/>\nLib Dems: 49 (+38)<br \/>\nSNP: 19 (-29)<br \/>\nPlaid: 4 (=)<br \/>\nGreens: 1 (=)<br \/>\nReform UK: 0 (=)<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/OsyOEUzb0L\">https:\/\/t.co\/OsyOEUzb0L<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/acJwFG2RI0\">pic.twitter.com\/acJwFG2RI0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 YouGov (@YouGov) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/YouGov\/status\/1775531272594395421?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">April 3, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ankete g\u00f6re \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi 201 sandalye kazanarak 403 sandalye elde ederken, Muhafazak\u00e2rlar 210 sandalye kaybederek 155 sandalyeye d\u00fc\u015fecek.<\/span><\/p><div id=\"briti-361477194\" class=\"briti-icerik\" style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/piaryum.com\/services\/\" aria-label=\"piaryum banner\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Gemini_Generated_Image_g5yqr1g5yqr1g5yq.jpg\" alt=\"\"  width=\"2064\" height=\"1152\"   \/><\/a><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">E\u011fer sonu\u00e7 do\u011fru \u00e7\u0131karsa, bu Muhafazak\u00e2rlar i\u00e7in 1997&#8217;de Sir John Major d\u00f6neminde Sir Tony Blair&#8217;in Yeni \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin y\u00fckseli\u015fiyle sadece 165 milletvekiliyle kald\u0131klar\u0131 d\u00f6nemden daha k\u00f6t\u00fc bir yenilgi olacak.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sandalye kaybedece\u011fi tahmin edilen \u00f6nemli Muhafazakarlar aras\u0131nda Ba\u015fbakan Jeremy Hunt, kabine bakanlar\u0131 Grant Shapps ve Penny Mordaunt ile partinin eski lideri Sir Iain Duncan Smith bulunuyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/news.sky.com\/story\/labour-forecast-to-win-landslide-of-over-400-seats-with-yougov-poll-predicting-tory-wipeout-at-election-13107202\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Sky News<\/strong><\/a>\u2019in haberine g\u00f6re; parti liderli\u011fi i\u00e7in iki kez yar\u0131\u015fan ve Rishi Sunak&#8217;\u0131n potansiyel halefi olarak lanse edilen Mordaunt i\u00e7in bir kayb\u0131n utan\u00e7 verici olaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kabinede koltuklar\u0131n\u0131 kaybedecek di\u011fer bakanlar aras\u0131nda Ula\u015ft\u0131rma Bakan\u0131 Mark Harper, Adalet Bakan\u0131 Alex Chalk, Bilim Bakan\u0131 Michelle Donelan ve Galler Bakan\u0131 David TC Davies yer al\u0131yor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SNP i\u00e7in de k\u00f6t\u00fc haberler var. Partinin 29 sandalye kaybedece\u011fi ve bunlar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funun \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;ne gidece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bu da 2015&#8217;te s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n kuzeyinde neredeyse yok olan \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin bir kez daha \u0130sko\u00e7ya&#8217;n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck partisi olmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bu arada \u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin g\u00fcneyindeki Muhafazakarlar\u0131n kalbi olan b\u00f6lgeleri hedefleyen Liberal Demokratlar\u0131n 38 sandalye kazanarak toplamda 49 sandalyeye ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Buna Hunt&#8217;\u0131n 8,817 oyla \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fa sahip oldu\u011fu yeni Godalming ve Ash se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgesi de (eski ad\u0131yla G\u00fcney Bat\u0131 Surrey) dahil.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Anket YouGov taraf\u0131ndan 7-27 Mart tarihleri aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi ve se\u00e7im b\u00f6lgesi d\u00fczeyindeki sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 modellemek i\u00e7in \u00e7ok d\u00fczeyli regresyon ve post-stratifikasyon (MRP) s\u00fcreci kullan\u0131ld\u0131.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"briti-2684202607\" class=\"briti-icerikten-sonra_2\" style=\"margin-top: 25px;margin-bottom: 25px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wa.me\/message\/NDZLLIOQT4H3O1\" aria-label=\"bytv reklam banner\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/bytv-reklam-banner.jpg\" alt=\"\"  width=\"2376\" height=\"1008\"   \/><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>YouGov&#8217;un son kapsaml\u0131 anketine g\u00f6re \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi bir sonraki genel se\u00e7imlerde 400&#8217;den fazla sandalye kazanarak iktidara gelebilir. 18.000 ki\u015finin kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 ankete g\u00f6re Sir Keir Starmer&#8217;\u0131n partisi 154 milletvekili daha \u00e7\u0131kararak Muhafazakarlar\u0131n 2019&#8217;da Boris Johnson ile elde etti\u011fi \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fun neredeyse iki kat\u0131na ula\u015facak. New YouGov MRP \u2013 Labour set to win more than 400 seats Labour: 403 (+201 since GE2019) Conservatives: 155 (-210) Lib Dems: 49 (+38) SNP: 19 (-29) Plaid: 4 (=) Greens: 1 (=) Reform UK: 0 (=)https:\/\/t.co\/OsyOEUzb0L pic.twitter.com\/acJwFG2RI0 \u2014 YouGov (@YouGov) April 3, 2024 Ankete g\u00f6re \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi 201 sandalye kazanarak 403 sandalye elde ederken, Muhafazak\u00e2rlar 210 sandalye [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24486,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ingiltere"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24485","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24485"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24485\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24486"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24485"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24485"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24485"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}