{"id":24099,"date":"2024-03-20T14:51:41","date_gmt":"2024-03-20T14:51:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/?p=24099"},"modified":"2024-03-20T14:51:41","modified_gmt":"2024-03-20T14:51:41","slug":"ingiltere-merkez-bankasinin-haziran-ayinda-faiz-oranlarini-dusurecegini-tahmin-ediliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/ingiltere-merkez-bankasinin-haziran-ayinda-faiz-oranlarini-dusurecegini-tahmin-ediliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n Haziran ay\u0131nda faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrece\u011fini tahmin ediliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ankete kat\u0131lan 23 ekonomistin \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu (y\u00fczde 61) Banka’n\u0131n Haziran ay\u0131nda faiz indirimine ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek ge\u00e7en ayki anketten bu yana bahislerini daraltt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en ayki y\u00fczde 43’l\u00fck orana k\u0131yasla sadece y\u00fczde 9’luk bir kesim faiz indirimlerinin May\u0131s ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131rken, yakla\u015f\u0131k d\u00f6rtte biri (y\u00fczde 26) A\u011fustos ay\u0131n\u0131 se\u00e7ti.<\/p>\n

Ekonomistlerin yar\u0131s\u0131ndan biraz az\u0131 (y\u00fczde 48) bankan\u0131n 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 kez faiz indirece\u011fini beklerken, baz\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00f6rt (y\u00fczde 30) ve be\u015f indirim (y\u00fczde dokuz) i\u00e7in daha iyimser bahislerde bulundu.<\/p>

\"\"<\/a><\/div>\n

Banka’n\u0131n Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu bir sonraki faiz belirleme oylamas\u0131 i\u00e7in 21 Mart Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc toplanacak. G\u00f6sterge Banka Faizi \u015fu anda y\u00fczde 5,25 ile mali krizden bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ngiltere<\/a> ve Galler Yeminli Mali M\u00fc\u015favirler Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc Ekonomi Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Suren Thiru<\/strong>, City A.M.’ye yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: “Beklenti faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n bu ay sabit kalaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde olsa da, ekonomi zorlan\u0131rken ve enflasyon yava\u015flarken, yaza kadar politikan\u0131n gev\u015fetilmesi i\u00e7in zemin olu\u015fuyor.”<\/p>\n

Ekim 2022’de y\u00fczde 11’in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kan enflasyon h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015ferek \u015fu anda y\u00fczde 3.4  seviyesinde seyrediyor. Baz\u0131 tahminciler enflasyonun 2024’\u00fcn ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde h\u00fck\u00fcmetin y\u00fczde 2’lik hedefine d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini, ancak y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6nemlerinde yeniden y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Enflasyondaki olduk\u00e7a h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye ba\u015flamalar\u0131 konusunda bask\u0131 alt\u0131na ald\u0131. Faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok uzun s\u00fcre tutmak Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ekonomisini gereksiz yere engelleme riski ta\u015f\u0131rken, \u00e7ok erken gev\u015fetmek enflasyonun %2’de sabitlenmemesine neden olabilir.<\/p>\n

Y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda piyasalar faiz indirimlerinin Mart ay\u0131 gibi erken bir tarihte gelebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyordu. Ancak yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, inat\u00e7\u0131 enflasyon ve Banka’dan gelen sert yorumlar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bahislerini azaltt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Baz\u0131 yorumcular Banka’y\u0131 \u00e7ok yava\u015f davranmakla ele\u015ftirirken, eski ba\u015f ekonomist Andy Haldane faizleri sabit tutman\u0131n resesyonu derinle\u015ftirebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Ancak bu ay\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda Haldane’nin halefi Huw Pill, faiz indirimlerinin hala “biraz uzakta” oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Resmi rakamlar \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n sonunda resesyona girdikten sonra Ocak ay\u0131nda toparland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve y\u00fczde 0.2 b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n

Politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar, s\u0131k\u0131 bir i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fccret bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fcksek tutabilece\u011finden endi\u015fe ediyor. Bu durum firmalar i\u00e7in maliyetleri art\u0131racak ve t\u00fcketicilere daha fazla harcama g\u00fcc\u00fc verecek.<\/p>\n

Banka’n\u0131n en son Para Politikas\u0131 Raporu, yurti\u00e7i enflasyonist bask\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir g\u00f6stergesi olan hizmet enflasyonunu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in “\u00fccret bask\u0131lar\u0131nda bir \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k” olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Son resmi veriler \u0130ngiltere istihdam piyasas\u0131nda so\u011fuma i\u015faretleri g\u00f6sterdi. Ocak ay\u0131na kadarki \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k d\u00f6nemde y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u00fczde 5.6’ya gerileyerek y\u00fczde 8’in \u00fczerindeki zirve noktalar\u0131ndan geriledi ancak y\u00fczde 2’lik enflasyon hedefiyle tutarl\u0131 olamayacak kadar y\u00fcksek kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu arada i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 ge\u00e7en Temmuz ay\u0131ndan bu yana ilk kez artarak y\u00fczde 3,8’den y\u00fczde 3,9’a y\u00fckseldi ve piyasa beklentilerini a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ankete kat\u0131lan 23 ekonomistin \u00e7o\u011funlu\u011fu (y\u00fczde 61) Banka’n\u0131n Haziran ay\u0131nda faiz indirimine ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek ge\u00e7en ayki anketten bu yana bahislerini daraltt\u0131. Ge\u00e7en ayki y\u00fczde 43’l\u00fck orana k\u0131yasla sadece y\u00fczde 9’luk bir kesim faiz indirimlerinin May\u0131s ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131rken, yakla\u015f\u0131k d\u00f6rtte biri (y\u00fczde 26) A\u011fustos ay\u0131n\u0131 se\u00e7ti. Ekonomistlerin yar\u0131s\u0131ndan biraz az\u0131 (y\u00fczde 48) bankan\u0131n 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 kez faiz indirece\u011fini beklerken, baz\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00f6rt (y\u00fczde 30) ve be\u015f indirim (y\u00fczde dokuz) i\u00e7in daha iyimser bahislerde bulundu. Banka’n\u0131n Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu bir sonraki faiz belirleme oylamas\u0131 i\u00e7in 21 Mart Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc toplanacak. G\u00f6sterge Banka Faizi \u015fu anda y\u00fczde 5,25 ile mali krizden bu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24100,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1272,15,2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24099","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","category-ingiltere","category-is-dunyasi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24099","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24099"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24099\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24100"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24099"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24099"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24099"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}