{"id":12316,"date":"2021-08-16T20:41:37","date_gmt":"2021-08-16T19:41:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/?p=12316"},"modified":"2021-08-16T20:41:37","modified_gmt":"2021-08-16T19:41:37","slug":"asilanma-oranlari-arttikca-gunluk-vaka-sayilarinda-asilananlarin-oraninin-artmasi-normaldir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/asilanma-oranlari-arttikca-gunluk-vaka-sayilarinda-asilananlarin-oraninin-artmasi-normaldir\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;A\u015f\u0131lanma oranlar\u0131 artt\u0131k\u00e7a, g\u00fcnl\u00fck vaka say\u0131lar\u0131nda a\u015f\u0131lananlar\u0131n oran\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 normaldir!&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>G\u00fcnl\u00fck vaka say\u0131lar\u0131nda a\u015f\u0131lananlar\u0131n oran\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 a\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131tlar\u0131n\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7irdi. Ancak durumun asl\u0131nda<a href=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/ingilterede-asi-karsitlarinin-protestosuna-polis\/\"> a\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131tlar\u0131<\/a>n\u0131n iddia etti\u011fi gibi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 Coronavir\u00fcs Bilim Kurulu \u00dcyesi Prof. Dr. Alper \u015eener tek tek anlatt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/?s=ingiltere+halk+sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131\">\u0130ngiltere Halk Sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/a> kurumunun 6 A\u011fustos tarihinde payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 <a href=\"https:\/\/assets.publishing.service.gov.uk\/government\/uploads\/system\/uploads\/attachment_data\/file\/1009243\/Technical_Briefing_20.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">&#8220;SARS-CoV-2 endi\u015fe verici t\u00fcrleri ve inceleme alt\u0131ndaki varyantlar- \u0130ngiltere<\/a>&#8221; ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 raporun i\u00e7inden baz\u0131 istatistikleri, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki a\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131tlar\u0131 g\u00fcnlerdir payla\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<h4>Temel Oran Yan\u0131lg\u0131s\u0131<\/h4>\n<p>Bahse konu yap\u0131lan payla\u015f\u0131m; \u0130ngiltere\u2019de a\u015f\u0131 olanlar\u0131n \u00f6l\u00fcm oran\u0131, olmayanlar\u0131n 1.6 kat\u0131 olarak raporda yer almas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu raporun yanl\u0131\u015f alg\u0131 yaratmamas\u0131 ad\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131klama yapan Coronavir\u00fcs Bilim Kurulu \u00dcyesi Prof.Dr. Alper \u015eENER, bunun \u201cTemel Oran Yan\u0131lg\u0131s\u0131\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p><div id=\"briti-2046386547\" class=\"briti-icerik\" style=\"margin-top: 5px;margin-bottom: 5px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/piaryum.com\/services\/\" aria-label=\"piaryum banner\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Gemini_Generated_Image_g5yqr1g5yqr1g5yq.jpg\" alt=\"\"  width=\"2064\" height=\"1152\"   \/><\/a><\/div>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"tr\">\u0130ngiltere&#8217;den \u015foke eden &#8216;korona&#8217; raporu: \u00d6lenlerin y\u00fczde 64&#8217;\u00fc a\u015f\u0131l\u0131 ve a\u015f\u0131l\u0131 \u00f6l\u00fcmlerin oran\u0131 a\u015f\u0131s\u0131zlar\u0131n 2 kat\u0131!<\/p>\n<p>Toplam vaka say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 300 bin 10 ki\u015fi oldu\u011fu g\u00f6zlemlenirken bu vakalardan 117 bin 115&#8217;i 1. doz ve 2. dozu yap\u0131lan vakalar oldu\u011fu tespit edildi. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MFo4mTW9dI\">pic.twitter.com\/MFo4mTW9dI<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Abdullah \u00c7ift\u00e7i (@abdullahciftcib) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/abdullahciftcib\/status\/1426921929257201674?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">August 15, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n\u0130ngiltere Halk Sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan payla\u015f\u0131lan Covid-19 ara\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n raporuna g\u00f6re, \u00f6lenlerin %64\u2019\u00fc a\u015f\u0131l\u0131 ve a\u015f\u0131s\u0131z \u00f6l\u00fcmler bu say\u0131dan daha az. Ayr\u0131ca toplam 300 bin 10 vakadan 117 bin 115\u2019inin 1. ve 2. doz a\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yapt\u0131ran insanlar oldu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Pek \u00e7ok insan bunu raporu, a\u015f\u0131n\u0131n korumad\u0131\u011f\u0131na bir kan\u0131t olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc ancak durum pek de \u00f6yle de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Medya ve Bilgi Teknolojileri Strateji Derne\u011fi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Abdullah \u00c7ift\u00e7i\u2019nin Twitter hesab\u0131ndan ki payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 sonras\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klama yapan Prof. Dr. Alper \u015eener bu durumun sebebinin \u0130ngiltere\u2019de a\u015f\u0131lanma oran\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131yla do\u011frudan alakal\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"tr\">2\/\u015eimdi, 800 ki\u015filik pop\u00fclasyonumuzun %95&#8217;inin (760 ki\u015finin) a\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnelim. Geriye kalan a\u015f\u0131s\u0131z 40 ki\u015finin 20&#8217;si hastalans\u0131n ve 2&#8217;si \u00f6ls\u00fcn. 760 ki\u015fide ise 40 ki\u015fi hastalans\u0131n ve 4 ki\u015fi \u00f6ls\u00fcn.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6yle bir senaryoda, e\u011fer mutlak olarak say\u0131 farklar\u0131na bakacak olursan\u0131z\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Prof.Dr. Alper \u015eENER (@dralpersener) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/dralpersener\/status\/1426928520593383427?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">August 15, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\nProf.Dr. \u015eener: &#8220;\u015eimdi, 800 ki\u015filik pop\u00fclasyonumuzun %95&#8217;inin (760 ki\u015finin) a\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnelim. Geriye kalan a\u015f\u0131s\u0131z 40 ki\u015finin 20&#8217;si hastalans\u0131n ve 2&#8217;si \u00f6ls\u00fcn. 760 ki\u015fide ise 40 ki\u015fi hastalans\u0131n ve 4 ki\u015fi \u00f6ls\u00fcn.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6yle bir senaryoda, e\u011fer mutlak olarak say\u0131 farklar\u0131na bakacak olursan\u0131z a\u015f\u0131s\u0131z grupta 2 ki\u015fi \u00f6lm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr, a\u015f\u0131l\u0131 grupta ise 4 ki\u015fi \u00f6lm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Bu durumda bir a\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131, halk\u0131 aldatmak i\u00e7in &#8220;A\u015f\u0131l\u0131 gruptakilerin \u00f6lme riskinin 2 kat fazla&#8221; oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebilir. Ama bu, tamamen hatal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>40 ki\u015fiden 2&#8217;sinin \u00f6ld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir grupta \u00f6l\u00fcm riskiniz %5 demektir. 760 ki\u015fiden 4&#8217;\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6ld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir grupta \u00f6l\u00fcm riskiniz %0.5 demektir\u2026&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Yani mutlak say\u0131lara bakarak karar verecek olursan\u0131z, a\u015f\u0131lar aras\u0131nda \u00f6lenlerin say\u0131s\u0131, a\u015f\u0131s\u0131zlara g\u00f6re 2 kat fazlad\u0131r; ancak ger\u00e7ekte a\u015f\u0131s\u0131z gruptakilerin \u00f6l\u00fcm riski, a\u015f\u0131l\u0131 gruptan 10 kat y\u00fcksektir.<br \/>\nMatematik \u00f6nemlidir!&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<div id=\"briti-3345593493\" class=\"briti-icerikten-sonra_2\" style=\"margin-top: 25px;margin-bottom: 25px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wa.me\/message\/NDZLLIOQT4H3O1\" aria-label=\"bytv reklam banner\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/bytv-reklam-banner.jpg\" alt=\"\"  width=\"2376\" height=\"1008\"   \/><\/a><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>G\u00fcnl\u00fck vaka say\u0131lar\u0131nda a\u015f\u0131lananlar\u0131n oran\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 a\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131tlar\u0131n\u0131 harekete ge\u00e7irdi. Ancak durumun asl\u0131nda a\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131tlar\u0131n\u0131n iddia etti\u011fi gibi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 Coronavir\u00fcs Bilim Kurulu \u00dcyesi Prof. Dr. Alper \u015eener tek tek anlatt\u0131. \u0130ngiltere Halk Sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kurumunun 6 A\u011fustos tarihinde payla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 &#8220;SARS-CoV-2 endi\u015fe verici t\u00fcrleri ve inceleme alt\u0131ndaki varyantlar- \u0130ngiltere&#8221; ba\u015fl\u0131kl\u0131 raporun i\u00e7inden baz\u0131 istatistikleri, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki a\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131tlar\u0131 g\u00fcnlerdir payla\u015f\u0131yor. Temel Oran Yan\u0131lg\u0131s\u0131 Bahse konu yap\u0131lan payla\u015f\u0131m; \u0130ngiltere\u2019de a\u015f\u0131 olanlar\u0131n \u00f6l\u00fcm oran\u0131, olmayanlar\u0131n 1.6 kat\u0131 olarak raporda yer almas\u0131d\u0131r. Bu raporun yanl\u0131\u015f alg\u0131 yaratmamas\u0131 ad\u0131na a\u00e7\u0131klama yapan Coronavir\u00fcs Bilim Kurulu \u00dcyesi Prof.Dr. Alper \u015eENER, bunun \u201cTemel Oran Yan\u0131lg\u0131s\u0131\u201d oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. \u0130ngiltere&#8217;den \u015foke eden [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12317,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12316","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-genel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12316","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12316"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12316\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12317"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12316"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12316"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/by-tv.co.uk\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12316"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}